Who to start · 2025-26
Mark Scheifele vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Scheifele has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left. We project Marner for 1.9 ESPN points to Scheifele's 1.6.
Mark Scheifele has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Scheifele's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 121, Luck Meter +67.
Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Expected goals 57.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mark Scheifele
2.23
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.
| Points per game from | Scheifele | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.82 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Scheifele vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Scheifele 14G 15A, 62 SOG · Marner 9G 20A, 57 SOG
Scheifele's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 2–0 · Scheifele's defensive zone 2–1 (2020-21 to 2025-26)
Scheifele blocked 4 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Scheifele's.
On the ice against each other (Scheifele's side)
10:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Scheifele's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–7
- 69.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.2
- 79.5%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Scheifele | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | WPG 2–6 VGK | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-24 | WPG 4–1 VGK | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-12-23 | WPG 5–2 TOR | 3G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-10-28 | WPG 4–6 TOR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-01-19 | WPG 1–4 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-22 | WPG 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-03-31 | WPG 3–7 TOR | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2021-04-24 | WPG 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-04-22 | WPG 3–5 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2021-04-15 | WPG 5–2 TOR | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-04-02 | WPG 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Faceoffs: Scheifele vs Marner
Model: Mark Scheifele wins 55.0% of draws against Mitch Marner on average (R shot vs R shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Scheifele at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 61% | 49% | 62% | 55% | 49% | 62% | 50% | 63% |
| Road | 47% | 60% | 48% | 61% | 55% | 48% | 61% | 49% | 62% |
Head-to-head 2025-26: Scheifele 4–1 (80.0%). Blended with the model: 55.2%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z 1.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mark Scheifele
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 3rd-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.9 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mark Scheifele or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mark Scheifele or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Scheifele and Marner done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Scheifele's team went 7–16. Scheifele had 29 points (14 goals) and Marner had 29 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Scheifele or Marner?
- Against each other, Scheifele has won 4 and Marner 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →