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Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Dumba vs Olen Zellweger

Surging+6:46 TOI a game

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Olen Zellweger projects to 1.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Dumba's 1.12.

Dumba had 3 points in 11 games; Zellweger had 22 in 76 games.

This week Dumba has 2 games left; Zellweger has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Zellweger for 2.6 to Dumba's 2.2 over the games left.

Mathew Dumba has the better number in 1 of the 1 stats both are ranked on.

Dumba's biggest edges: Luck Meter +40.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Olen Zellweger rates ahead, +0.8 to -3.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Dumba has no recent trend; Zellweger is surging, +6:46 TOI a game.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 20 SOG.

Pittsburgh Penguins · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Dumba

-3.3

category z-score total

Olen Zellweger

-0.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Olen Zellweger has the edge (Dumba wins 1, Zellweger wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryDumbaZellweger
Goals / game0.090.09
Assists / game0.180.20
Plus/minus / game-0.450.05
Power-play points / game0.000.04
Shots on goal / game0.641.57
Hits / game1.450.43

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Dumba vs Zellweger

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DumbaZellweger
2Team record in 5 meetings3
0Points in those games2

Dumba 0G 0A, 4 SOG · Zellweger 1G 1A, 7 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Dumba's side)

5:58 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Dumba's side

Shot attempts
7–7
50.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
42.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Dumba and Olen Zellweger
DateScoreDumbaZellweger
2025-10-14PIT 3–4 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-18DAL 4–3 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-04DAL 1–2 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-18DAL 2–4 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-24TBL 3–2 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DumbaZellweger

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Mathew Dumba

3games (2 left)

2.2proj. ESPN default pts (season rate)

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ UTA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.816)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs FLA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.0 win%Likely vs Cooper Black
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NSH1.1 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Olen Zellweger

2games

2.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Dumba or Olen Zellweger in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Olen Zellweger projects to 1.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Dumba's 1.12. Dumba had 3 points in 11 games; Zellweger had 22 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Dumba or Olen Zellweger?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Dumba leads in 1 of 1 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dumba and Zellweger done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Dumba's team went 2–3. Dumba had 0 points (0 goals) and Zellweger had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →