Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Rasmus Dahlin vs Seth Jones

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.63 (was 3.47)
Surging9 P in last 5 (0.63/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.37 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jones's 1.96.

Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; Jones had 32 in 52 games.

This week Dahlin has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Jones has 3 left with 2 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Jones for 5.8 to Dahlin's 4.7 over the games left.

Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dahlin's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 76, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Plus/minus +18.

Jones's biggest edges: Ascension score 83, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.042, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.05.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Rasmus Dahlin rates ahead, +11.1 to +8.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Dahlin is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.63 (was 3.47); Jones is surging, 9 P in last 5 (0.63/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 6 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 19 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 9 A, 5 PPP, 25 SOG.

Buffalo Sabres · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Rasmus Dahlin

+11.1

category z-score total

Seth Jones

+8.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Rasmus Dahlin has the edge (Dahlin wins 4, Jones wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryDahlinJones
Goals / game0.270.13
Assists / game0.610.68
Plus/minus / game0.170.05
Power-play points / game0.300.40
Shots on goal / game2.702.10
Hits / game1.000.90

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Dahlin vs Jones

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DahlinJones
11Team record in 17 meetings6
17Points in those games12

Dahlin 4G 13A, 53 SOG · Jones 4G 8A, 55 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other2

Dahlin blocked 1 of Jones's shots; Jones blocked 2 of Dahlin's.

On the ice against each other (Dahlin's side)

8:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Dahlin's side

Shot attempts
11–6
64.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.2
75.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Rasmus Dahlin and Seth Jones
DateScoreDahlinJones
2026-10-12BUF 5–3 FLA1G 0A 4S0G 2A 4S
2025-10-18BUF 3–0 FLA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2025-04-12BUF 2–3 FLA1G 1A 6S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-08BUF 0–4 FLA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-27BUF 6–2 CHI0G 2A 3S1G 0A 2S
2024-10-19BUF 4–2 CHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2024-01-18BUF 3–0 CHI1G 0A 6S0G 0A 5S
2023-11-19BUF 3–2 CHI1G 2A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-17BUF 3–4 CHI0G 0A 3S2G 1A 4S
2022-10-29BUF 4–3 CHI0G 1A 6S0G 1A 4S
2022-04-29BUF 3–2 CHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-28BUF 6–5 CHI0G 2A 5S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DahlinJones

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Rasmus Dahlin

2games

4.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH2.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

Seth Jones

3games

5.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Rasmus Dahlin or Seth Jones in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.37 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jones's 1.96. Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; Jones had 32 in 52 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Rasmus Dahlin or Seth Jones?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dahlin and Jones done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Dahlin's team went 11–6. Dahlin had 17 points (4 goals) and Jones had 12 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →