Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis vs William Nylander
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games.
This week Jarvis has 1 game left; Nylander has 1 left. We project Nylander for 2.1 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.0.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Fenwick 59.7%, Plus/minus +6, Corsi 60.4%.
Nylander's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Luck Meter +74, Goals above expected +5.0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
William Nylander
2.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, William Nylander has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarvis | Nylander |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.75 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Nylander
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarvis 5G 3A, 33 SOG · Nylander 7G 3A, 38 SOG
Jarvis blocked 2 of Nylander's shots; Nylander blocked 0 of Jarvis's.
On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)
23:25 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side
- Shot attempts
- 24–19
- 55.8%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.3
- 49.1%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarvis | Nylander |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | CAR 4–3 TOR | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-04 | CAR 1–5 TOR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR 5–4 TOR | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-13 | CAR 1–4 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | CAR 3–6 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-01-09 | CAR 6–3 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-24 | CAR 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-16 | CAR 5–4 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-30 | CAR 3–2 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-25 | CAR 5–3 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-17 | CAR 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-06 | CAR 1–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
William Nylander
3games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jarvis or William Nylander in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jarvis or William Nylander?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarvis and Nylander done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 7–6. Jarvis had 8 points (5 goals) and Nylander had 10 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →