Draw Duel
MacKenzie Entwistle faceoff stats, 2023-24
FLA · R · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
46.0%
90%: 41.6%–50.5% vs an average regular, on 393 draws since 2023-24
2023-24 FO%
43.8%
172 won of 393 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
44.1% / 43.7%
195 strong-side, 103 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Entwistle wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2023-24 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 25 | 12 | 48.0% |
| OZ right | 62 | 28 | 45.2% |
| NZ left (att.) | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
| Centre | 95 | 41 | 43.2% |
| NZ left (def.) | 15 | 7 | 46.7% |
| NZ right (def.) | 22 | 9 | 40.9% |
| DZ left | 53 | 23 | 43.4% |
| DZ right | 97 | 42 | 43.3% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R37.7%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L37.9%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R38.6%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L38.9%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R39.1%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L39.2%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L59.0%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L58.7%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L57.5%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L55.8%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L55.5%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R55.3%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 43.8% 393 | 43.5% 370 | 50.0% 2 | 47.6% 21 | 46.0% 87 | 42.9% 156 | 43.3% 150 | 44.1% 195 | 43.7% 103 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 4–5 | 44.4% | 47.1% | 47.1% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Michael McCarron | 1–7 | 12.5% | 41.6% | 41.1% | a bit unusual (z -1.7) |
| Mikael Backlund | 5–3 | 62.5% | 45.4% | 45.7% | normal luck (z 1.0) |
| Jake Lucchini | 3–4 | 42.9% | 56.5% | 56.3% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Wyatt Johnston | 3–4 | 42.9% | 45.0% | 45.0% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 2–5 | 28.6% | 39.3% | 39.1% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Nazem Kadri | 4–3 | 57.1% | 50.1% | 50.2% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Jack McBain | 1–5 | 16.7% | 47.2% | 46.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.5) |
| Ryan Johansen | 2–4 | 33.3% | 43.7% | 43.6% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Elias Lindholm | 2–4 | 33.3% | 42.3% | 42.2% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Christian Fischer | 3–3 | 50.0% | 58.0% | 57.9% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Jared McCann | 4–2 | 66.7% | 49.7% | 49.9% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-18 | @ LAK | 5 | 7 | 71.4% |
| 2024-04-12 | vs NSH | 2 | 5 | 40.0% |
| 2024-04-10 | @ STL | 1 | 5 | 20.0% |
| 2024-04-07 | vs MIN | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| 2024-04-06 | vs DAL | 2 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 2024-04-02 | @ NYI | 2 | 9 | 22.2% |
| 2024-03-30 | @ PHI | 2 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 2024-03-28 | @ OTT | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2024-03-26 | vs CGY | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 2024-03-23 | @ SJS | 1 | 6 | 16.7% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is MacKenzie Entwistle's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows MacKenzie Entwistle's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will MacKenzie Entwistle win tonight?
When MacKenzie Entwistle has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is MacKenzie Entwistle better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.