Who to start · 2026-27

Aaron Ekblad vs Evan Bouchard

Steady3 P in last 5 (0.30/GP before)
Cooling6 P in last 5 (1.70/GP before)

In 2026-27, Evan Bouchard scored 3.30 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Aaron Ekblad's 1.32.

Ekblad had 8 points in 19 games; Bouchard had 34 in 21 games.

This week Ekblad has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Bouchard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Bouchard for 3.6 to Ekblad's 1.3 over the games left.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 8 of the 14 stats both are ranked on.

Ekblad's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.037, Forecheck xG /60 0.54, Ascension score 52.

Bouchard's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1123, Offensive-zone start % 56.9%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.11.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Evan Bouchard rates ahead, +15.8 to -0.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Ekblad is steady, 3 P in last 5 (0.30/GP before); Bouchard is cooling, 6 P in last 5 (1.70/GP before).

  • • Ekblad, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 14): 1 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 14 SOG.
  • • Bouchard, last 10 games (Oct 26–Nov 14): 5 G, 8 A, 5 PPP, 21 SOG.

Florida Panthers · Edmonton Oilers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Aaron Ekblad

-0.3

category z-score total

Evan Bouchard

+15.8

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Evan Bouchard has the edge (Ekblad wins 1, Bouchard wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryEkbladBouchard
Goals / game0.050.57
Assists / game0.371.05
Plus/minus / game0.001.33
Power-play points / game0.050.57
Shots on goal / game1.422.57
Hits / game1.000.48

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Ekblad vs Bouchard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EkbladBouchard
13Team record in 21 meetings8
8Points in those games14

Ekblad 2G 6A, 36 SOG · Bouchard 2G 12A, 80 SOG

0Hits on each other1
8Shots blocked by the other1

Ekblad blocked 8 of Bouchard's shots; Bouchard blocked 1 of Ekblad's.

On the ice against each other (Ekblad's side)

10:07 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Ekblad's side

Shot attempts
5–9
35.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
50.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Aaron Ekblad and Evan Bouchard
DateScoreEkbladBouchard
2026-03-19FLA 4–0 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-06-17 · POFLA 5–1 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-06-14 · POFLA 5–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-06-12 · POFLA 4–5 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-06-09 · POFLA 6–1 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 1A 9S
2025-06-06 · POFLA 5–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 2A 8S
2025-06-04 · POFLA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 7S
2025-02-27FLA 4–3 EDM0G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-16FLA 6–5 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-06-24 · POFLA 2–1 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2024-06-21 · POFLA 1–5 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-06-18 · POFLA 3–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 3A 0S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EkbladBouchard

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

EkbladBouchard

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Florida Panthers logo

Aaron Ekblad

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Nov 10 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Cam Talbot (.909)
  • Thu, Nov 12 vs DET
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.862)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ STL
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.921)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ DALB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Casey DeSmith (.894)
Edmonton Oilers logo

Evan Bouchard

4games (1 left)

3.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Nov 9 vs NYR
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.910)
  • Wed, Nov 11 vs PHI
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.879)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Anthony Stolarz (.905)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ PHIB2B3.6 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to Dvs Dan Vladar (.879)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Aaron Ekblad or Evan Bouchard in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Evan Bouchard scored 3.30 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Aaron Ekblad's 1.32. Ekblad had 8 points in 19 games; Bouchard had 34 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Aaron Ekblad or Evan Bouchard?
On 2026-27 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 8 of 14 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ekblad and Bouchard done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Ekblad's team went 13–8. Ekblad had 8 points (2 goals) and Bouchard had 14 (2 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →