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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Bouchard's 1.9.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 57.1%, Forecheck xG /60 0.35.

Connor's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Transition attempts /60 1.09, Offensive-zone start % 71.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardConnor
Goals (+2)0.921.02
Assists (+1)1.030.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.37
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardConnor
10Team record in 17 meetings7
12Points in those games17

Bouchard 3G 9A, 52 SOG · Connor 7G 10A, 72 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other3

Bouchard blocked 1 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 3 of Bouchard's.

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

19:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
16–14
53.3%
Expected goals
1.0–0.9
51.5%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Kyle Connor
DateScoreBouchardConnor
2026-01-08EDM 4–3 WPG1G 1A 4S1G 1A 3S
2025-12-29EDM 3–1 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 0A 9S
2025-12-06EDM 6–2 WPG1G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-13EDM 4–1 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-20EDM 3–4 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 7S
2024-10-09EDM 0–6 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-03-26EDM 4–3 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-30EDM 3–1 WPG0G 1A 6S0G 1A 3S
2023-10-21EDM 2–3 WPG1G 0A 7S0G 1A 3S
2023-03-04EDM 5–7 WPG0G 3A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-03EDM 6–3 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-31EDM 1–2 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Connor done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 10–7. Bouchard had 12 points (3 goals) and Connor had 17 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →