Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Kyle Connor
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Connor has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Connor's 2.4.
Kyle Connor has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 580, Blocked shots 81, Transition attempts /60 2.09.
Connor's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.1, Luck Meter +36, Ascension score 57.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Kyle Connor
2.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Connor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 1.02 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Connor
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 16G 13A, 99 SOG · Connor 12G 9A, 75 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 0–1 (2020-21)
Matthews blocked 1 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 0 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
12:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–9
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.3
- 73.0%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Connor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | TOR 4–3 WPG | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2026-01-01 | TOR 6–5 WPG | 3G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-28 | TOR 6–4 WPG | 0G 1A 5S | 2G 2A 7S |
| 2024-01-27 | TOR 4–2 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-24 | TOR 1–0 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-01-19 | TOR 4–1 WPG | 2G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-10-22 | TOR 4–1 WPG | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-12-05 | TOR 3–6 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2021-04-24 | TOR 4–1 WPG | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-05-14 | TOR 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2021-04-22 | TOR 5–3 WPG | 1G 2A 7S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2021-04-02 | TOR 2–1 WPG | 0G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Kyle Connor?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Connor done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 16–6. Matthews had 29 points (16 goals) and Connor had 21 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Connor?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 1 and Connor 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →