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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Kirill Kaprizov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Kaprizov had 89 in 78 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Kaprizov has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 580, Blocked shots 81, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Corsi 51.3%, Goals above expected −0.3, Offensive-zone time 45.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsKaprizov
Goals (+2)0.791.21
Assists (+1)0.380.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.34
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Kaprizov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsKaprizov
5Team record in 8 meetings3
12Points in those games6

Matthews 8G 4A, 28 SOG · Kaprizov 1G 5A, 29 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other1

Matthews blocked 3 of Kaprizov's shots; Kaprizov blocked 1 of Matthews's.

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

7:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
4–11
26.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.7
19.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Kirill Kaprizov
DateScoreMatthewsKaprizov
2026-01-19TOR 3–6 MIN1G 1A 1S0G 2A 5S
2024-11-03TOR 1–2 MIN0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-19TOR 4–3 MIN1G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-14TOR 7–4 MIN3G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-24TOR 2–1 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-25TOR 4–3 MIN0G 0A 3S1G 1A 9S
2022-02-24TOR 3–1 MIN2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-04TOR 3–4 MIN1G 1A 8S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsKaprizov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Kirill Kaprizov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Kaprizov had 89 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Kirill Kaprizov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Kaprizov done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 5–3. Matthews had 12 points (8 goals) and Kaprizov had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →