Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Bump vs Matthew Tkachuk
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Bump's 1.06.
Bump had 9 points in 17 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games.
This week Bump has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Tkachuk has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 7.6 to Bump's 2.4 over the games left.
They split the 2 stats both are ranked on 1–1.
Bump's biggest edges: Luck Meter +31.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Ascension score 62.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Matthew Tkachuk rates ahead, +9.6 to -0.8 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Bump is cooling, 0 P in last 4 (0.53/GP before); Tkachuk is rising, 11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before).
- • Alex Bump is a rookie: 23 NHL games before this season.
- • Bump has played 4 of the Flyers' 11 games since Sep 30 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 4 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 3 G, 11 A, 7 PPP, 19 SOG.
Philadelphia Flyers · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Bump
-0.8
category z-score total
Matthew Tkachuk
+9.6
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Matthew Tkachuk has the edge (Bump wins 2, Tkachuk wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Bump | Tkachuk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| Assists / game | 0.19 | 0.88 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.33 | 2.57 |
| Hits / game | 1.16 | 1.13 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head
Alex Bump and Matthew Tkachuk have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Alex Bump
3games (2 left)
2.4proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs COLOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Wed, Oct 21 @ BUF1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs ANA1.2 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Matthew Tkachuk
3games
7.6proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Bump or Matthew Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Bump's 1.06. Bump had 9 points in 17 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Bump or Matthew Tkachuk?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 1–1 across 2 stats where both qualify.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →