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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Christian Dvorak

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Carrier for 1.2 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.

Christian Dvorak has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Goals above expected +3.6, Luck Meter +57.

Dvorak's biggest edges: Power-play share 47.9%, 20+ mph bursts 199, Power-play time per game 1:37.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierDvorak
Goals (+2)0.300.40
Assists (+1)0.260.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.18
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Dvorak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierDvorak
3Team record in 8 meetings5
1Points in those games4

Carrier 0G 1A, 8 SOG · Dvorak 2G 2A, 14 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Carrier blocked 0 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 1 of Carrier's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1
0Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

7:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
8–6
57.1%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
63.3%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Christian Dvorak
DateScoreCarrierDvorak
2025-12-16MTL 1–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-04MTL 4–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-12-05NSH 0–3 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-10NSH 2–1 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-12NSH 3–4 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-03NSH 6–3 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2021-12-04NSH 4–3 MTL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 1S
2021-11-20NSH 3–6 MTL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierDvorak

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Christian Dvorak?
On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Dvorak done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 3–5. Carrier had 1 points (0 goals) and Dvorak had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →