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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Mason Marchment

vs
Surging10 P in last 5 (0.75/GP before)
CoolingPP1 in 1 of last 5 (was 15 of 20)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason Marchment's 1.39.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Marchment had 45 in 68 games.

This week Tkachuk has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Marchment has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 7.7 to Marchment's 2.7 over the games left.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.42, Ascension score 56, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018.

Marchment's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1046, Goals above expected +1.0, Luck Meter +25.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Brady Tkachuk rates ahead, +11.3 to +0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Tkachuk is surging, 10 P in last 5 (0.75/GP before); Marchment is cooling, PP1 in 1 of last 5 (was 15 of 20).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 4 A, 5 PPP, 32 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 3 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 21 SOG.

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Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

+11.3

category z-score total

Mason Marchment

+0.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Brady Tkachuk has the edge (Tkachuk wins 6, Marchment wins 0 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryTkachukMarchment
Goals / game0.480.29
Assists / game0.550.23
Plus/minus / game0.13-0.05
Power-play points / game0.420.06
Shots on goal / game3.641.89
Hits / game2.941.42

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Marchment

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukMarchment
2Team record in 8 meetings6
6Points in those games5

Tkachuk 1G 5A, 24 SOG · Marchment 2G 3A, 14 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

5:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
4–8
33.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.5
18.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Mason Marchment
DateScoreTkachukMarchment
2026-10-01FLA 3–4 SJS0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-29OTT 1–4 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-22OTT 4–1 DAL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-15OTT 4–5 DAL0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-08OTT 3–4 DAL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-24OTT 4–2 DAL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-26OTT 3–4 FLA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-03OTT 0–3 FLA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukMarchment

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Brady Tkachuk

3games

7.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Mason Marchment

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Mason Marchment in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason Marchment's 1.39. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Marchment had 45 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Mason Marchment?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Marchment done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 2–6. Tkachuk had 6 points (1 goals) and Marchment had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →