Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Matthew Tkachuk

Surging10 P in last 5 (0.75/GP before)
Rising11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Tkachuk's 2.39.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games.

This week Tkachuk has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Tkachuk has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 7.7 to Tkachuk's 7.6 over the games left.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.80, Hardest shot 92.3, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.5, Luck Meter +22, On-ice PDO 983.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Brady Tkachuk rates ahead, +11.3 to +9.6 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Tkachuk is surging, 10 P in last 5 (0.75/GP before); Tkachuk is rising, 11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 4 A, 5 PPP, 32 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 3 G, 11 A, 7 PPP, 19 SOG.

Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

+11.3

category z-score total

Matthew Tkachuk

+9.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Brady Tkachuk has the edge (Tkachuk wins 4, Tkachuk wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryTkachukTkachuk
Goals / game0.480.39
Assists / game0.550.88
Plus/minus / game0.130.05
Power-play points / game0.420.55
Shots on goal / game3.642.57
Hits / game2.941.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukTkachuk
10Team record in 25 meetings15
13Points in those games33

Tkachuk 7G 6A, 103 SOG · Tkachuk 9G 24A, 88 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other0

Tkachuk's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19 to 2019-20)

3Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Tkachuk blocked 0 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 1 of Tkachuk's.

4Goals set up by the other0

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

4:02 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
6–5
54.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
34.2%
Goals
0–0

On the ice together

42:36 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2026-27

Shot attempts
68–34
66.7%
Expected goals
3.6–2.3
60.6%
Goals
6–3

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Matthew Tkachuk
DateScoreTkachukTkachuk
2026-03-31OTT 3–6 FLA0G 0A 4S1G 3A 5S
2025-02-08OTT 1–5 FLA1G 0A 11S1G 2A 8S
2024-10-10OTT 3–1 FLA0G 1A 5S0G 1A 4S
2024-04-09OTT 0–2 FLA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-04OTT 0–6 FLA0G 0A 6S1G 2A 1S
2024-02-20OTT 2–3 FLA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 6S
2023-11-27OTT 0–5 FLA0G 0A 7S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-06OTT 2–7 FLA0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S
2023-03-27OTT 5–2 FLA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2022-10-29OTT 3–5 FLA1G 0A 3S1G 2A 7S
2022-01-13OTT 4–1 CGY0G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2021-11-14OTT 0–4 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Brady Tkachuk

3games

7.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Matthew Tkachuk

3games

7.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Matthew Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Tkachuk's 2.39. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Matthew Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 10–15. Tkachuk had 13 points (7 goals) and Tkachuk had 33 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Tkachuk?
Against each other, Tkachuk has won 2 and Tkachuk 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →