Who to start · 2025-26
Clayton Keller vs Matthew Schaefer
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.
Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games.
This week Keller has 2 games left; Schaefer has 1 left. We project Keller for 3.6 ESPN points to Schaefer's 2.0.
Clayton Keller has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Keller's biggest edges: Expected goals 57.1%, Corsi 56.4%, Scoring chances 56.1%.
Schaefer's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.8, Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.60.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Clayton Keller
2.15
fantasy points per game
Matthew Schaefer
2.02
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.
| Points per game from | Keller | Schaefer |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Keller vs Schaefer
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Keller 1G 3A, 6 SOG · Schaefer 2G 0A, 5 SOG
On the ice against each other (Keller's side)
12:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Keller's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–9
- 57.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.5
- 59.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Keller | Schaefer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | UTA 7–2 NYI | 1G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-14 | UTA 2–3 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Clayton Keller
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Matthew Schaefer
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TORSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Clayton Keller or Matthew Schaefer in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Keller had 88 points in 82 games; Schaefer had 59 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Clayton Keller or Matthew Schaefer?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Keller and Schaefer done against each other?
- In 2 games against each other in our data, Keller's team went 1–1. Keller had 4 points (1 goals) and Schaefer had 2 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →