Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Cole Hutson vs Nathan MacKinnon

SteadyPP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 8 of 17)
SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 3.02 (was 3.76)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Cole Hutson's 1.54.

Hutson had 10 points in 14 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Hutson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 3 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 9.1 to Hutson's 3.0 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 12 of the 14 stats both are ranked on.

Hutson's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.18, Forecheck xG /60 0.36.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Sequence xG 59.5%, Expected goals 59.7%, On-ice PDO 1054.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.9 to +5.8 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Hutson is steady, PP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 8 of 17); MacKinnon is steady, On-ice xGF/60 3.02 (was 3.76).

  • • Cole Hutson is a rookie: 14 NHL games before this season.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 39 SOG.

Washington Capitals · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Cole Hutson

+5.8

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.9

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Hutson wins 2, MacKinnon wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryHutsonMacKinnon
Goals / game0.180.66
Assists / game0.460.99
Plus/minus / game-0.100.53
Power-play points / game0.280.32
Shots on goal / game1.854.36
Hits / game1.010.58

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Hutson vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HutsonMacKinnon
0Team record in 1 meetings1
1Points in those games0

Hutson 0G 1A, 0 SOG · MacKinnon 0G 0A, 1 SOG

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Hutson's side)

4:23 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hutson's side

Shot attempts
1–7
12.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
59.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Cole Hutson and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreHutsonMacKinnon
2026-03-22WSH 2–3 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HutsonMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Cole Hutson

2games

3.0proj. ESPN default pts

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (3 left)

9.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B3.1 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Cole Hutson or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Cole Hutson's 1.54. Hutson had 10 points in 14 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Cole Hutson or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 12 of 14 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hutson and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 1 games against each other in our data, Hutson's team went 0–1. Hutson had 1 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →