Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Devon Toews
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.68 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.40.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Toews had 24 in 68 games.
This week McDavid has 3 games left with 1 tough matchup; Toews has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 9.3 to Toews's 4.5 over the games left.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.6, Luck Meter +14, Goals 48.
Toews's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.039, On-ice PDO 1025, Hardest shot 91.6.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +20.7 to +5.2 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (1.85/GP before); Toews is steady, On-ice xGF/60 2.74 (was 3.77).
- • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 6 G, 17 A, 5 PPP, 18 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 3 PPP, 12 SOG.
Edmonton Oilers · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
+20.7
category z-score total
Devon Toews
+5.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 6, Toews wins 0 of 6 categories).
| Category | McDavid | Toews |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.64 | 0.11 |
| Assists / game | 1.45 | 0.40 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.96 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.65 | 0.13 |
| Shots on goal / game | 3.22 | 1.56 |
| Hits / game | 0.80 | 0.45 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Toews
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 10G 16A, 87 SOG · Toews 1G 15A, 43 SOG
McDavid blocked 1 of Toews's shots; Toews blocked 5 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
24:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–25
- 52.8%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–1.2
- 44.1%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Toews |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | EDM 1–2 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-10 | EDM 4–3 COL | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1–9 COL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 3A 0S |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4–5 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | EDM 4–3 COL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-30 | EDM 4–1 COL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-05 | EDM 6–2 COL | 2G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-16 | EDM 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-11 | EDM 2–1 COL | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-19 | EDM 5–6 COL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-01-07 | EDM 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-06-06 · PO | EDM 5–6 COL | 1G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Connor McDavid
3games
9.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN3.2 pts
- Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.8 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.3 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Devon Toews
4games (3 left)
4.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ PHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL1.4 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH1.5 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Devon Toews in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.68 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.40. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Toews had 24 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Devon Toews?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Toews done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 7–13. McDavid had 26 points (10 goals) and Toews had 16 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →