Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Devon Toews vs Nikita Kucherov

SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 2.74 (was 3.77)
Cooling6 P in last 5 (1.50/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 2.79 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.40.

Toews had 24 points in 68 games; Kucherov had 130 in 76 games.

This week Toews has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Kucherov has 3 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kucherov for 7.6 to Toews's 4.5 over the games left.

Nikita Kucherov has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Toews's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.039, Forecheck xG /60 0.45.

Kucherov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Luck Meter +54, Goals 44.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nikita Kucherov rates ahead, +12.3 to +5.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Toews is steady, On-ice xGF/60 2.74 (was 3.77); Kucherov is cooling, 6 P in last 5 (1.50/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 3 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 3 G, 7 A, 3 PPP, 24 SOG.

Colorado Avalanche · Tampa Bay Lightning · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Devon Toews

+5.2

category z-score total

Nikita Kucherov

+12.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nikita Kucherov has the edge (Toews wins 2, Kucherov wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryToewsKucherov
Goals / game0.110.51
Assists / game0.401.04
Plus/minus / game0.670.41
Power-play points / game0.130.45
Shots on goal / game1.563.03
Hits / game0.450.35

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Toews vs Kucherov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ToewsKucherov
10Team record in 19 meetings9
5Points in those games20

Toews 2G 3A, 36 SOG · Kucherov 8G 12A, 63 SOG

0Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other0

Toews blocked 2 of Kucherov's shots; Kucherov blocked 0 of Toews's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Toews's side)

7:44 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Toews's side

Shot attempts
6–9
40.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
49.1%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Devon Toews and Nikita Kucherov
DateScoreToewsKucherov
2025-11-04COL 3–2 TBL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-25COL 2–8 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 2A 4S
2024-10-30COL 2–5 TBL0G 0A 3S1G 2A 2S
2024-02-15COL 3–6 TBL0G 0A 2S2G 1A 6S
2023-11-27COL 4–1 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 6S
2023-02-14COL 3–4 TBL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-02-09COL 0–5 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2022-06-26 · POCOL 2–1 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-06-24 · POCOL 2–3 TBL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 6S
2022-06-22 · POCOL 3–2 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-06-20 · POCOL 2–6 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 2A 6S
2022-06-18 · POCOL 7–0 TBL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ToewsKucherov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Devon Toews

4games (3 left)

4.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL1.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Nikita Kucherov

3games

7.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VGK2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWvs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ COL2.3 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ UTAB2B3.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Devon Toews or Nikita Kucherov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 2.79 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.40. Toews had 24 points in 68 games; Kucherov had 130 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Devon Toews or Nikita Kucherov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikita Kucherov leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Toews and Kucherov done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Toews's team went 10–9. Toews had 5 points (2 goals) and Kucherov had 20 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →