Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Erik Karlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Hits 87, Penalty minutes 50, Ascension score 54.
Karlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 153, Top skating speed 23.7, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.74
fantasy points per game
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.70 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Karlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 2G 7A, 52 SOG · Karlsson 4G 8A, 35 SOG
Hamilton blocked 1 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 5 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
21:43 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–14
- 57.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.6–0.5
- 75.6%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | NJD 2–5 PIT | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-02-26 | NJD 1–4 PIT | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-08 | NJD 1–4 PIT | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-04 | NJD 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-21 | NJD 3–0 PIT | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-16 | NJD 5–2 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-01-16 | NJD 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2022-10-22 | NJD 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-30 | NJD 2–5 SJS | 0G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-05 | CAR 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2019-10-16 | CAR 2–5 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2018-12-05 | CAR 1–5 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to Dvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Erik Karlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Karlsson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 8–6. Hamilton had 9 points (2 goals) and Karlsson had 12 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →