Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Strome vs Mikael Granlund

SurgingOn-ice xGF/60 3.37 (was 2.59)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.38 (was 3.38)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikael Granlund projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.60.

Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Granlund had 41 in 58 games.

This week Strome has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Granlund has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Granlund for 5.2 to Strome's 3.7 over the games left.

Dylan Strome has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Strome's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 74.7%, On-ice PDO 1031, Ascension score 81.

Granlund's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.072, Goals above expected +1.7, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.

Head to head on the dot, Strome leads Granlund 25–16.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Mikael Granlund rates ahead, +2.2 to +1.5 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Strome is surging, On-ice xGF/60 3.37 (was 2.59); Granlund is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.38 (was 3.38).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
  • • Granlund has played 8 of the Ducks' 9 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 2 G, 6 A, 4 PPP, 15 SOG.

Washington Capitals · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Strome

+1.5

category z-score total

Mikael Granlund

+2.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Mikael Granlund has the edge (Strome wins 2, Granlund wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryStromeGranlund
Goals / game0.190.30
Assists / game0.510.51
Plus/minus / game0.06-0.19
Power-play points / game0.210.32
Shots on goal / game1.911.97
Hits / game0.170.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Strome vs Granlund

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StromeGranlund
8Team record in 23 meetings15
12Points in those games16

Strome 3G 9A, 40 SOG · Granlund 4G 12A, 49 SOG

25Faceoffs against each other16

Strome's offensive zone 13–8 · neutral 8–4 · Strome's defensive zone 4–4 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Strome's side)

7:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side

Shot attempts
9–11
45.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
44.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Strome and Mikael Granlund
DateScoreStromeGranlund
2026-01-05WSH 7–4 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-05WSH 3–4 ANA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-03WSH 1–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-27WSH 1–2 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2023-10-29WSH 3–1 SJS1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-25WSH 3–4 PIT1G 1A 6S0G 1A 0S
2023-01-06WSH 2–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-29WSH 3–0 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-16CHI 3–4 NSH0G 1A 0S1G 1A 1S
2022-01-01CHI 1–6 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-07CHI 2–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2021-04-19CHI 2–5 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Faceoffs: Strome vs Granlund

Model: Dylan Strome wins 56.9% of draws against Mikael Granlund on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Dylan Strome's predicted win % against Mikael Granlund at each dot, in Strome's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Strome atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home60%53%61%54%57%61%54%62%55%
Road59%51%60%53%57%60%53%61%54%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Strome 11–9 (55.0%). Blended with the model: 56.9%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.2); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Strome faceoffs · Granlund faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StromeGranlund

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Dylan Strome

2games

3.7proj. ESPN default pts

Mikael Granlund

4games (3 left)

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ NYR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NYIB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ NJD1.8 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ PHI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Strome or Mikael Granlund in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikael Granlund projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.60. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Granlund had 41 in 58 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Strome or Mikael Granlund?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Strome leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Strome and Granlund done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 8–15. Strome had 12 points (3 goals) and Granlund had 16 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or Granlund?
Against each other, Strome has won 25 and Granlund 16 of their 41 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →