Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Fabian Zetterlund vs Noah Cates

vs
Noah CatesFlyers · Left wing
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.98 (was 2.75)
FallingixG/60 0.70 (was 1.03)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Fabian Zetterlund projects to 1.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.05.

Zetterlund had 33 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Zetterlund has 3 games left with 1 soft and 2 tough matchups; Cates has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Zetterlund for 3.6 to Cates's 2.2 over the games left.

Fabian Zetterlund has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Zetterlund's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.51, Ascension score 52.

Cates's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 467, Penalty minutes 44, On-ice PDO 1026.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Fabian Zetterlund rates ahead, +0.3 to -1.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Zetterlund is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.98 (was 2.75); Cates is falling, ixG/60 0.70 (was 1.03).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 15 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.

Ottawa Senators · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Fabian Zetterlund

+0.3

category z-score total

Noah Cates

-1.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Fabian Zetterlund has the edge (Zetterlund wins 4, Cates wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryZetterlundCates
Goals / game0.170.13
Assists / game0.210.24
Plus/minus / game-0.010.07
Power-play points / game0.100.06
Shots on goal / game1.631.31
Hits / game2.101.06

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Zetterlund vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZetterlundCates
8Team record in 13 meetings5
3Points in those games5

Zetterlund 2G 1A, 24 SOG · Cates 1G 4A, 17 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Zetterlund's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–2 · Zetterlund's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24 to 2024-25)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Zetterlund blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 0 of Zetterlund's.

On the ice against each other (Zetterlund's side)

15:57 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Zetterlund's side

Shot attempts
10–11
47.6%
Expected goals
1.1–0.7
62.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Fabian Zetterlund and Noah Cates
DateScoreZetterlundCates
2026-10-17OTT 1–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-10-08OTT 2–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-02-05OTT 2–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-08OTT 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-23OTT 2–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-13OTT 4–3 PHI1G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-11OTT 5–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-31SJS 0–4 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-11SJS 3–4 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-12SJS 2–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-07SJS 2–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-15NJD 1–2 PHI0G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZetterlundCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Fabian Zetterlund

3games

3.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

Noah Cates

3games (2 left)

2.2proj. ESPN default pts

FAQ

Should I start Fabian Zetterlund or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Fabian Zetterlund projects to 1.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.05. Zetterlund had 33 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Fabian Zetterlund or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Fabian Zetterlund leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zetterlund and Cates done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Zetterlund's team went 8–5. Zetterlund had 3 points (2 goals) and Cates had 5 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Zetterlund or Cates?
Against each other, Zetterlund has won 0 and Cates 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →