Who to start · 2026-27

Jaden Schwartz vs Ross Colton

Falling2 P in last 5 (0.70/GP before)

In 2026-27, Ross Colton scored 1.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jaden Schwartz's 1.40.

Schwartz had 13 points in 21 games; Colton had 8 in 20 games.

This week Schwartz has no games left; Colton has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Colton for 1.6 to Schwartz's 0.0 over the games left.

Jaden Schwartz has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schwartz's biggest edges: Hardest shot 90.8, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, Corsi 54.7%.

Colton's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.90, Blocked shots 17, Hits 46.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Jaden Schwartz rates ahead, -1.1 to -1.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Schwartz is falling, 2 P in last 5 (0.70/GP before); Colton is steady.

  • • Schwartz, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 14): 4 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
  • • Colton, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 13): 4 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 21 SOG.

Colorado Avalanche · Nashville Predators · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jaden Schwartz

-1.1

category z-score total

Ross Colton

-1.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Jaden Schwartz has the edge (Schwartz wins 5, Colton wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategorySchwartzColton
Goals / game0.330.25
Assists / game0.290.15
Plus/minus / game0.00-0.05
Power-play points / game0.100.00
Shots on goal / game1.711.65
Hits / game0.672.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Schwartz vs Colton

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchwartzColton
1Team record in 10 meetings9
3Points in those games6

Schwartz 2G 1A, 17 SOG · Colton 4G 2A, 17 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Schwartz's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Schwartz's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Schwartz blocked 1 of Colton's shots; Colton blocked 0 of Schwartz's.

On the ice against each other (Schwartz's side)

6:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2026-27, from Schwartz's side

Shot attempts
10–7
58.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
56.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jaden Schwartz and Ross Colton
DateScoreSchwartzColton
2026-11-05COL 2–3 NSH1G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-10-25COL 2–6 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-12-22SEA 2–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-22SEA 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-13SEA 1–5 COL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-09SEA 4–3 COL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-17SEA 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-13SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2022-03-16SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-26SEA 0–3 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Faceoffs: Schwartz vs Colton

Model: Jaden Schwartz wins 51.6% of draws against Ross Colton on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Jaden Schwartz's predicted win % against Ross Colton at each dot, in Schwartz's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Schwartz atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home57%46%58%47%52%58%47%59%48%
Road55%44%57%45%51%57%45%58%46%

Head-to-head 2023-24: Schwartz 0–1 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 51.5%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.0); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Schwartz faceoffs · Colton faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchwartzColton

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

SchwartzColton

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Colorado Avalanche logo

Jaden Schwartz

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Nashville Predators logo

Ross Colton

4games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Nov 10 @ LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Anton Forsberg (.908)
  • Wed, Nov 11 @ ANAB2B
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Laurent Brossoit (.867)
  • Fri, Nov 13 @ VGK
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Adin Hill (.908)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge +12.6 win%Likely vs Alex Nedeljkovic (.895)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Jaden Schwartz or Ross Colton in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Ross Colton scored 1.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jaden Schwartz's 1.40. Schwartz had 13 points in 21 games; Colton had 8 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jaden Schwartz or Ross Colton?
On 2026-27 numbers, Jaden Schwartz leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schwartz and Colton done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Schwartz's team went 1–9. Schwartz had 3 points (2 goals) and Colton had 6 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Schwartz or Colton?
Against each other, Schwartz has won 0 and Colton 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →