Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jeffrey Viel vs Matthew Tkachuk

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.97 (was 3.26)
Rising11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jeffrey Viel's 0.81.

Viel had 10 points in 45 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games.

This week Viel has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Tkachuk has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 7.6 to Viel's 1.6 over the games left.

Matthew Tkachuk has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Viel's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.85, Top skating speed 22.8, Hits 121.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Luck Meter +22, Power-play time per game 3:31, Power-play share 74.0%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Matthew Tkachuk rates ahead, +9.6 to -2.9 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Viel is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.97 (was 3.26); Tkachuk is rising, 11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before).

  • • Viel has played 7 of the Lightning's 9 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 3 G, 11 A, 7 PPP, 19 SOG.

Tampa Bay Lightning · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jeffrey Viel

-2.9

category z-score total

Matthew Tkachuk

+9.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Matthew Tkachuk has the edge (Viel wins 1, Tkachuk wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryVielTkachuk
Goals / game0.050.39
Assists / game0.110.88
Plus/minus / game-0.230.05
Power-play points / game0.000.55
Shots on goal / game1.212.57
Hits / game2.881.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Viel vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2021-22: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VielTkachuk
1Team record in 2 meetings1
0Points in those games5

Viel 0G 0A, 2 SOG · Tkachuk 1G 4A, 7 SOG

Games against each other

Games between Jeffrey Viel and Matthew Tkachuk
DateScoreVielTkachuk
2022-04-07SJS 2–4 CGY0G 0A 0S1G 2A 3S
2022-03-22SJS 4–3 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 2A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VielTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Jeffrey Viel

3games (2 left)

1.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ COL0.8 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ UTAB2B0.8 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −11.4 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Matthew Tkachuk

3games

7.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Jeffrey Viel or Matthew Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jeffrey Viel's 0.81. Viel had 10 points in 45 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jeffrey Viel or Matthew Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Tkachuk leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Viel and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Viel's team went 1–1. Viel had 0 points (0 goals) and Tkachuk had 5 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →