Who to start · 2025-26
John Carlson vs Lucas Raymond
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78.
Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Raymond had 76 in 80 games.
This week Carlson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Raymond has 1 left. We project Raymond for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlson's 1.6.
John Carlson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carlson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 54.5%, Scoring chances 53.1%.
Raymond's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, 20+ mph bursts 113, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.073.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Carlson
2.10
fantasy points per game
Lucas Raymond
1.78
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carlson | Raymond |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.37 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.76 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carlson vs Raymond
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlson 0G 7A, 27 SOG · Raymond 4G 7A, 24 SOG
Carlson blocked 2 of Raymond's shots; Raymond blocked 1 of Carlson's.
On the ice against each other (Carlson's side)
17:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Carlson's side
- Shot attempts
- 22–12
- 64.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.3
- 76.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlson | Raymond |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-21 | WSH 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-20 | WSH 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-18 | WSH 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-07 | WSH 5–2 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-12-29 | WSH 2–4 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-04-09 | WSH 2–1 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-26 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-27 | WSH 3–8 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2022-12-19 | WSH 4–3 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2021-12-31 | WSH 3–1 DET | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-11-11 | WSH 2–0 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Carlson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Lucas Raymond
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Carlson or Lucas Raymond in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lucas Raymond's 1.78. Carlson had 60 points in 71 games; Raymond had 76 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Carlson or Lucas Raymond?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlson and Raymond done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Carlson's team went 8–5. Carlson had 7 points (0 goals) and Raymond had 11 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →