Who to start · 2025-26
John Tavares vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.
Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Tavares has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Faceoff win % 57.5%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Scoring chances 57.5%, Fenwick 60.3%.
Head to head on the dot, Tavares leads Aho 60–35.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Tavares
1.80
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tavares | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tavares vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tavares 13G 13A, 70 SOG · Aho 11G 14A, 64 SOG
Tavares's offensive zone 16–13 · neutral 22–13 · Tavares's defensive zone 22–9 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)
15:04 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–17
- 34.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.6
- 63.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tavares | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TOR 3–4 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-04 | TOR 5–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-13 | TOR 4–1 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6–3 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-09 | TOR 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-24 | TOR 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-16 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-30 | TOR 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-03-25 | TOR 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 9S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-17 | TOR 5–2 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-06 | TOR 3–1 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 24 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Tavares or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Tavares or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tavares and Aho done against each other?
- In 24 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 11–13. Tavares had 26 points (13 goals) and Aho had 25 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tavares or Aho?
- Against each other, Tavares has won 60 and Aho 35 of their 95 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →