Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kaapo Kakko vs Macklin Celebrini

Cooling0% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 63%)
SurgingixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kaapo Kakko's 1.22.

Kakko had 40 points in 65 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Kakko has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Celebrini has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.2 to Kakko's 2.4 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kakko's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.048, Plus/minus +14, On-ice PDO 1055.

Celebrini's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Blocked shots 53, Shots on goal 287.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to +1.0 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Kakko is cooling, 0% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 63%); Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 2 G, 6 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.

Seattle Kraken · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kaapo Kakko

+1.0

category z-score total

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Kakko wins 1, Celebrini wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryKakkoCelebrini
Goals / game0.200.58
Assists / game0.490.95
Plus/minus / game0.250.06
Power-play points / game0.110.61
Shots on goal / game1.043.89
Hits / game0.560.64

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Kakko vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KakkoCelebrini
4Team record in 5 meetings1
1Points in those games6

Kakko 0G 1A, 9 SOG · Celebrini 1G 5A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kakko's side)

11:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kakko's side

Shot attempts
9–9
50.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.6
35.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Kaapo Kakko and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreKakkoCelebrini
2025-12-20SEA 4–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-05SEA 1–6 SJS0G 0A 1S1G 2A 2S
2025-04-05SEA 5–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-30SEA 6–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-14NYR 3–2 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S

Faceoffs: Kakko vs Celebrini

Model: Kaapo Kakko wins 45.6% of draws against Macklin Celebrini on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Kaapo Kakko's predicted win % against Macklin Celebrini at each dot, in Kakko's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Kakko atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home51%39%52%40%46%52%40%53%41%
Road50%38%51%39%45%51%39%52%40%

They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.

Kakko faceoffs · Celebrini faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KakkoCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Kaapo Kakko

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN default pts

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.9 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Kaapo Kakko or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kaapo Kakko's 1.22. Kakko had 40 points in 65 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kaapo Kakko or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kakko and Celebrini done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Kakko's team went 4–1. Kakko had 1 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →