Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

K'Andre Miller vs Nathan MacKinnon

SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 2.40 (was 3.22)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to K'Andre Miller's 1.39.

Miller had 37 points in 72 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Miller has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 6.0 to Miller's 2.8 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.012, Shorthanded points 3, Hits 101.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Luck Meter +52, Hardest shot 91.0.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to +1.9 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Miller is steady, On-ice xGF/60 2.40 (was 3.22); MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 18 SOG.
  • • Last 10 games (Oct 2–Oct 20): 1 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 18 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.

Carolina Hurricanes · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

K'Andre Miller

+1.9

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Miller wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMillerMacKinnon
Goals / game0.100.64
Assists / game0.350.96
Plus/minus / game0.020.43
Power-play points / game0.020.30
Shots on goal / game1.684.38
Hits / game1.230.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Miller vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerMacKinnon
2Team record in 8 meetings6
3Points in those games13

Miller 0G 3A, 5 SOG · MacKinnon 3G 10A, 34 SOG

2Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Miller's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

9:32 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
10–9
52.6%
Expected goals
1.0–0.9
51.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between K'Andre Miller and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreMillerMacKinnon
2026-01-03CAR 3–5 COL0G 1A 0S1G 3A 2S
2025-01-26NYR 4–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-14NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 4S
2024-03-28NYR 3–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-05NYR 2–1 COL0G 1A 2S1G 0A 7S
2022-10-25NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2021-12-14NYR 2–4 COL0G 0A 0S0G 2A 5S
2021-12-08NYR 3–7 COL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

K'Andre Miller

3games (2 left)

2.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ EDM1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +3.1 win%Likely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ STL1.5 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

6.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start K'Andre Miller or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to K'Andre Miller's 1.39. Miller had 37 points in 72 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, K'Andre Miller or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 2–6. Miller had 3 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 13 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →