Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Luke Hughes vs Macklin Celebrini

SteadyPP1 in 5 of last 5 (was 10 of 20)
SurgingixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Luke Hughes's 1.37.

Hughes had 35 points in 68 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Hughes has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Celebrini has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.2 to Hughes's 3.3 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Corsi 53.8%, Fenwick 52.7%.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Luck Meter +76, Blocked shots 53.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to +4.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Hughes is steady, PP1 in 5 of last 5 (was 10 of 20); Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 28 SOG.
  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.

New Jersey Devils · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Luke Hughes

+4.1

category z-score total

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Hughes wins 0, Celebrini wins 6 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryHughesCelebrini
Goals / game0.180.58
Assists / game0.310.95
Plus/minus / game-0.040.06
Power-play points / game0.160.61
Shots on goal / game2.553.89
Hits / game0.260.64

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesCelebrini
1Team record in 4 meetings3
1Points in those games3

Hughes 0G 1A, 4 SOG · Celebrini 1G 2A, 9 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Hughes blocked 0 of Celebrini's shots; Celebrini blocked 1 of Hughes's.

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

16:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
14–9
60.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
60.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Luke Hughes and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreHughesCelebrini
2025-10-30NJD 2–5 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-24NJD 3–1 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-04NJD 2–3 SJS0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-10NJD 0–1 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Luke Hughes

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs COL
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs ANA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs LAK1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.9 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Luke Hughes or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Luke Hughes's 1.37. Hughes had 35 points in 68 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Luke Hughes or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Celebrini done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 1–3. Hughes had 1 points (0 goals) and Celebrini had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →