Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Mikhail Sergachev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Sergachev's 3.0.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%, Ascension score 62.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.8, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.062, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

3.00

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCelebriniSergachev
Goals (+2)1.030.24
Assists (+1)0.990.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.81

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniSergachev
2Team record in 5 meetings3
9Points in those games3

Celebrini 4G 5A, 10 SOG · Sergachev 0G 3A, 14 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other0

Celebrini blocked 2 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 0 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

12:37 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
10–7
58.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.4
65.2%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Mikhail Sergachev
DateScoreCelebriniSergachev
2025-12-01SJS 6–3 UTA0G 3A 0S0G 1A 5S
2025-11-18SJS 3–2 UTA3G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-17SJS 3–6 UTA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-10SJS 1–2 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-14SJS 3–4 UTA0G 1A 2S0G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniSergachev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Sergachev done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 2–3. Celebrini had 9 points (4 goals) and Sergachev had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →