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Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Shea Theodore

SurgingixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10)
Cooling1 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shea Theodore's 1.52.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Theodore had 39 in 70 games.

This week Celebrini has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Theodore has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.2 to Theodore's 3.1 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Luck Meter +76, Ascension score 79, Hardest shot 97.9.

Theodore's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, High-danger chances 57.3%, Fenwick 55.3%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to +4.5 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.94 (was 1.10); Theodore is cooling, 1 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before).

  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 23 SOG.
  • • Last 10 games (Oct 2–Oct 20): 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 22 SOG.

San Jose Sharks · Vegas Golden Knights · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Shea Theodore

+4.5

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Celebrini wins 5, Theodore wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryCelebriniTheodore
Goals / game0.580.16
Assists / game0.950.32
Plus/minus / game0.060.58
Power-play points / game0.610.08
Shots on goal / game3.891.96
Hits / game0.640.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Theodore

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniTheodore
0Team record in 5 meetings5
2Points in those games4

Celebrini 0G 2A, 9 SOG · Theodore 1G 3A, 11 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other2

Celebrini blocked 2 of Theodore's shots; Theodore blocked 2 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

28:30 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
24–29
45.3%
Expected goals
1.3–1.2
51.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Shea Theodore
DateScoreCelebriniTheodore
2026-01-11SJS 2–7 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-29SJS 3–4 VGK0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-09SJS 3–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-07SJS 2–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2024-12-27SJS 3–6 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniTheodore

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.9 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

Shea Theodore

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ STL1.6 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Shea Theodore in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shea Theodore's 1.52. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Theodore had 39 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Shea Theodore?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Theodore done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 0–5. Celebrini had 2 points (0 goals) and Theodore had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →