Who to start · 2026-27

Marcus Pettersson vs Thomas Harley

RisingOn-ice xGF/60 3.22 (was 2.06)
Surging7 P in last 5 (0.45/GP before)

In 2026-27, Thomas Harley scored 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Marcus Pettersson's 1.21.

Pettersson had 4 points in 21 games; Harley had 13 in 19 games.

This week Pettersson has no games left; Harley has 1 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Harley for 2.2 to Pettersson's 0.0 over the games left.

Thomas Harley has the better number in 10 of the 14 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1018, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.012, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Harley's biggest edges: Fenwick 57.2%, Offensive-zone start % 61.3%, Corsi 54.5%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Thomas Harley rates ahead, +3.1 to -2.8 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Pettersson is rising, On-ice xGF/60 3.22 (was 2.06); Harley is surging, 7 P in last 5 (0.45/GP before).

  • • Pettersson, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 13): 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • Harley, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 14): 2 G, 7 A, 4 PPP, 19 SOG.

New York Rangers · Dallas Stars · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Marcus Pettersson

-2.8

category z-score total

Thomas Harley

+3.1

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Thomas Harley has the edge (Pettersson wins 2, Harley wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryPetterssonHarley
Goals / game0.000.11
Assists / game0.190.58
Plus/minus / game0.100.05
Power-play points / game0.000.26
Shots on goal / game0.621.84
Hits / game1.240.89

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonHarley
2Team record in 7 meetings5
2Points in those games6

Pettersson 0G 2A, 12 SOG · Harley 2G 4A, 12 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other2

Pettersson blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 2 of Pettersson's.

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

16:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
11–23
32.4%
Expected goals
0.3–0.8
28.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Marcus Pettersson and Thomas Harley
DateScorePetterssonHarley
2026-03-02VAN 1–6 DAL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-16VAN 5–3 DAL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-08VAN 6–5 DAL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-09VAN 1–4 DAL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-11PIT 1–7 DAL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-22PIT 2–4 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-10-24PIT 1–4 DAL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonHarley

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

PetterssonHarley

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

New York Rangers logo

Marcus Pettersson

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Nov 9 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Devon Levi (.906)
  • Wed, Nov 11 @ CGY
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Devin Cooley (.914)
  • Fri, Nov 13 @ VAN
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)
Dallas Stars logo

Thomas Harley

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Thu, Nov 12 vs WPG
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.880)
  • Sat, Nov 14 vs BUF
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Alex Lyon (.909)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs FLAB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.883)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Marcus Pettersson or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Thomas Harley scored 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Marcus Pettersson's 1.21. Pettersson had 4 points in 21 games; Harley had 13 in 19 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Marcus Pettersson or Thomas Harley?
On 2026-27 numbers, Thomas Harley leads in 10 of 14 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Harley done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 2–5. Pettersson had 2 points (0 goals) and Harley had 6 (2 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →