Who to start · 2026-27

Mario Ferraro vs Seth Jones

Mario FerraroJets · Defence
vs
Seth JonesPanthers · Defence
RisingOn-ice xGF/60 3.11 (was 2.19)
Cooling3 P in last 5 (1.10/GP before)

In 2026-27, Seth Jones scored 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.40.

Ferraro had 2 points in 21 games; Jones had 22 in 21 games.

This week Ferraro has no games left; Jones has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Jones for 2.0 to Ferraro's 0.0 over the games left.

Seth Jones has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.0, Blocked shots 39, Penalty minutes 8.

Jones's biggest edges: Assists 19, Points 22, Power-play time per game 4:25.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Seth Jones rates ahead, +8.2 to -1.7 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Ferraro is rising, On-ice xGF/60 3.11 (was 2.19); Jones is cooling, 3 P in last 5 (1.10/GP before).

  • • Ferraro, last 10 games (Oct 27–Nov 14): 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • Jones, last 10 games (Oct 25–Nov 14): 2 G, 9 A, 7 PPP, 22 SOG.

Winnipeg Jets · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mario Ferraro

-1.7

category z-score total

Seth Jones

+8.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Seth Jones has the edge (Ferraro wins 1, Jones wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryFerraroJones
Goals / game0.100.14
Assists / game0.000.90
Plus/minus / game-0.240.05
Power-play points / game0.000.62
Shots on goal / game1.052.43
Hits / game1.811.10

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Jones

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FerraroJones
7Team record in 16 meetings9
3Points in those games14

Ferraro 0G 3A, 20 SOG · Jones 3G 11A, 34 SOG

1Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other1

Ferraro blocked 3 of Jones's shots; Jones blocked 1 of Ferraro's.

On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)

19:16 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Ferraro's side

Shot attempts
10–22
31.3%
Expected goals
0.6–0.7
48.7%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Mario Ferraro and Seth Jones
DateScoreFerraroJones
2026-10-30WPG 2–5 FLA0G 0A 2S1G 2A 1S
2026-10-27WPG 1–5 FLA0G 0A 0S0G 3A 3S
2025-11-08SJS 3–1 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-31SJS 3–2 CHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-17SJS 2–4 CHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-03-23SJS 4–5 CHI0G 1A 1S2G 0A 4S
2024-03-17SJS 2–5 CHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-16SJS 1–2 CHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-25SJS 3–4 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-01SJS 5–2 CHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-15SJS 2–5 CHI0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-23SJS 4–1 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FerraroJones

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

FerraroJones

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Winnipeg Jets logo

Mario Ferraro

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Florida Panthers logo

Seth Jones

4games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Nov 10 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Cam Talbot (.909)
  • Thu, Nov 12 vs DET
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.862)
  • Sat, Nov 14 @ STL
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.921)
  • Sun, Nov 15 @ DALB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Casey DeSmith (.894)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mario Ferraro or Seth Jones in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Seth Jones scored 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.40. Ferraro had 2 points in 21 games; Jones had 22 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Seth Jones?
On 2026-27 numbers, Seth Jones leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ferraro and Jones done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 7–9. Ferraro had 3 points (0 goals) and Jones had 14 (3 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →