Who to start · 2026-27

Mario Ferraro vs Shea Theodore

Mario FerraroJets · Defence
vs
Shea TheodoreGolden Knights · Defence
RisingOn-ice xGF/60 3.11 (was 2.19)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.45 (was 3.39)

In 2026-27, Mario Ferraro scored 1.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shea Theodore's 1.40.

Ferraro had 2 points in 21 games; Theodore had 7 in 21 games.

This week Ferraro has no games left; Theodore has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Theodore for 1.6 to Ferraro's 0.0 over the games left.

Shea Theodore has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 38, Ascension score 57, Hardest shot 97.7.

Theodore's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.2, Expected goals 59.2%, Sequence xG 59.0%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Shea Theodore rates ahead, +0.6 to -1.7 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Ferraro is rising, On-ice xGF/60 3.11 (was 2.19); Theodore is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.45 (was 3.39).

  • • Ferraro, last 10 games (Oct 27–Nov 14): 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • Theodore, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 13): 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 14 SOG.

Winnipeg Jets · Vegas Golden Knights · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mario Ferraro

-1.7

category z-score total

Shea Theodore

+0.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Shea Theodore has the edge (Ferraro wins 1, Theodore wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryFerraroTheodore
Goals / game0.100.10
Assists / game0.000.24
Plus/minus / game-0.240.57
Power-play points / game0.000.10
Shots on goal / game1.051.76
Hits / game1.810.05

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Theodore

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FerraroTheodore
3Team record in 23 meetings20
6Points in those games22

Ferraro 2G 4A, 25 SOG · Theodore 3G 19A, 65 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Ferraro blocked 1 of Theodore's shots; Theodore blocked 1 of Ferraro's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)

17:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side

Shot attempts
12–20
37.5%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
48.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Mario Ferraro and Shea Theodore
DateScoreFerraroTheodore
2026-01-11SJS 2–7 VGK0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-29SJS 3–4 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-09SJS 3–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-07SJS 2–4 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 2A 2S
2024-12-27SJS 3–6 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-26SJS 3–7 VGK0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-10SJS 0–5 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-12SJS 1–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-16SJS 1–2 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 1A 6S
2022-11-15SJS 5–2 VGK1G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2022-10-25SJS 2–4 VGK0G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2022-04-24SJS 5–4 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 2A 6S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FerraroTheodore

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

FerraroTheodore

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Winnipeg Jets logo

Mario Ferraro

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Vegas Golden Knights logo

Shea Theodore

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Nov 11 vs UTA
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Sebastian Cossa (.862)
  • Fri, Nov 13 vs NSH
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.922)
  • Sun, Nov 15 vs VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge −3.1 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.885)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mario Ferraro or Shea Theodore in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Mario Ferraro scored 1.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Shea Theodore's 1.40. Ferraro had 2 points in 21 games; Theodore had 7 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Shea Theodore?
On 2026-27 numbers, Shea Theodore leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ferraro and Theodore done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 3–20. Ferraro had 6 points (2 goals) and Theodore had 22 (3 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →