Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Grzelcyk vs Owen Power

vs
Owen PowerSabres · Defence
Cooling−2:22 TOI a game
Rising+3:21 PP TOI

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Owen Power projects to 1.37 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Grzelcyk's 0.72.

Grzelcyk had 12 points in 69 games; Power had 29 in 81 games.

This week Grzelcyk has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Power has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Power for 3.1 to Grzelcyk's 1.7 over the games left.

Owen Power has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Grzelcyk's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.30, Penalty minutes 32, Hardest shot 96.7.

Power's biggest edges: Goals 8, Ascension score 91, Goals above expected +1.1.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Owen Power rates ahead, +1.8 to -4.2 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Grzelcyk is cooling, −2:22 TOI a game; Power is rising, +3:21 PP TOI.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 6 A, 0 PPP, 11 SOG.

Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Grzelcyk

-4.2

category z-score total

Owen Power

+1.8

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Owen Power has the edge (Grzelcyk wins 2, Power wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryGrzelcykPower
Goals / game0.000.15
Assists / game0.160.41
Plus/minus / game-0.180.24
Power-play points / game0.040.00
Shots on goal / game0.921.38
Hits / game0.380.27

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Grzelcyk vs Power

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrzelcykPower
6Team record in 10 meetings4
4Points in those games2

Grzelcyk 0G 4A, 15 SOG · Power 1G 1A, 18 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other0

Grzelcyk blocked 3 of Power's shots; Power blocked 0 of Grzelcyk's.

On the ice against each other (Grzelcyk's side)

8:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Grzelcyk's side

Shot attempts
13–5
72.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
42.0%
Goals
0–1

On the ice together

2:10 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27

Shot attempts
0–1
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
—
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matt Grzelcyk and Owen Power
DateScoreGrzelcykPower
2025-11-21CHI 3–9 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-27PIT 3–7 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-17PIT 5–2 BUF0G 2A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-10-16PIT 6–5 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-07BOS 1–3 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2023-03-19BOS 7–0 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-02BOS 7–1 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-31BOS 3–4 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-12BOS 3–1 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-28BOS 5–0 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrzelcykPower

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Matt Grzelcyk

2games

1.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI0.9 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

Owen Power

2games

3.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.7 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.4 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Matt Grzelcyk or Owen Power in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Owen Power projects to 1.37 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Grzelcyk's 0.72. Grzelcyk had 12 points in 69 games; Power had 29 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Grzelcyk or Owen Power?
On 2025-26 numbers, Owen Power leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Grzelcyk and Power done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Grzelcyk's team went 6–4. Grzelcyk had 4 points (0 goals) and Power had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →