Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Tyson Foerster

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)
CoolingixG/60 0.56 (was 1.23)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyson Foerster's 1.46.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Foerster had 17 in 29 games.

This week MacKinnon has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Foerster has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Foerster's 3.2 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, 20+ mph bursts 455, Faceoffs won 681.

Foerster's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.070, Hardest shot 92.9, On-ice PDO 1067.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to -0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88); Foerster is cooling, ixG/60 0.56 (was 1.23).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 22 SOG.

Colorado Avalanche · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Tyson Foerster

-0.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (MacKinnon wins 5, Foerster wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMacKinnonFoerster
Goals / game0.640.31
Assists / game0.960.08
Plus/minus / game0.43-0.15
Power-play points / game0.300.08
Shots on goal / game4.382.14
Hits / game0.681.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Foerster

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonFoerster
3Team record in 4 meetings1
7Points in those games3

MacKinnon 4G 3A, 14 SOG · Foerster 2G 1A, 8 SOG

3Hits on each other3

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Tyson Foerster
DateScoreMacKinnonFoerster
2025-02-02COL 2–0 PHI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-18COL 3–2 PHI0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-20COL 7–4 PHI2G 2A 4S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-09COL 2–5 PHI1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonFoerster

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Tyson Foerster

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN default pts

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Tyson Foerster in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyson Foerster's 1.46. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Foerster had 17 in 29 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Tyson Foerster?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Foerster done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 3–1. MacKinnon had 7 points (4 goals) and Foerster had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →