Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Niko Mikkola vs Nikolas Matinpalo

Steady2 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.40 (was 3.02)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Niko Mikkola projects to 1.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolas Matinpalo's 0.79.

Mikkola had 11 points in 68 games; Matinpalo had 5 in 50 games.

This week Mikkola has 3 games left with 2 soft and 1 tough matchups; Matinpalo has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Mikkola for 3.4 to Matinpalo's 2.3 over the games left.

Niko Mikkola has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Mikkola's biggest edges: Corsi 51.7%, Penalty minutes 47, Fenwick 51.0%.

Matinpalo's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.8, Top skating speed 23.1, Sequence xG 51.9%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Niko Mikkola rates ahead, -0.6 to -3.6 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Mikkola is steady, 2 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before); Matinpalo is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.40 (was 3.02).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Matinpalo has played 7 of the Senators' 9 games since Oct 3 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Florida Panthers · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Niko Mikkola

-0.6

category z-score total

Nikolas Matinpalo

-3.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Niko Mikkola has the edge (Mikkola wins 4, Matinpalo wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMikkolaMatinpalo
Goals / game0.070.00
Assists / game0.120.07
Plus/minus / game0.070.08
Power-play points / game0.000.00
Shots on goal / game1.170.73
Hits / game1.440.85

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Mikkola vs Matinpalo

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MikkolaMatinpalo
2Team record in 4 meetings2
0Points in those games1

Mikkola 0G 0A, 6 SOG · Matinpalo 0G 1A, 0 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Mikkola blocked 0 of Matinpalo's shots; Matinpalo blocked 2 of Mikkola's.

On the ice against each other (Mikkola's side)

7:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Mikkola's side

Shot attempts
3–7
30.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Niko Mikkola and Nikolas Matinpalo
DateScoreMikkolaMatinpalo
2026-10-21FLA 1–5 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-11FLA 6–2 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-05FLA 0–3 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-08FLA 5–1 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MikkolaMatinpalo

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Florida Panthers logo

Niko Mikkola

3games

3.4proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.6 win%Likely vs Sergei Murashov (.897)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Ottawa Senators logo

Nikolas Matinpalo

3games

2.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA0.8 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B0.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.5 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR0.7 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

FAQ

Should I start Niko Mikkola or Nikolas Matinpalo in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Niko Mikkola projects to 1.07 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolas Matinpalo's 0.79. Mikkola had 11 points in 68 games; Matinpalo had 5 in 50 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Niko Mikkola or Nikolas Matinpalo?
On 2025-26 numbers, Niko Mikkola leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mikkola and Matinpalo done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Mikkola's team went 2–2. Mikkola had 0 points (0 goals) and Matinpalo had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →