Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Trevor Connelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Connelly projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.39.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Connelly had 7 in 10 games.
This week Buchnevich has 3 games left with 2 tough matchups; Connelly has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Buchnevich for 3.5 to Connelly's 3.3 over the games left.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Trevor Connelly rates ahead, +2.3 to +0.8 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Buchnevich is surging, ixG/60 1.13 (was 0.74); Connelly is rising, +1:14 PP TOI.
- • Buchnevich has played 7 of the Blues' 8 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
- • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 2 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • Trevor Connelly is an NHL rookie: this is his first season.
- • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 4 G, 3 A, 3 PPP, 20 SOG.
St. Louis Blues · Vegas Golden Knights · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
+0.8
category z-score total
Trevor Connelly
+2.3
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Trevor Connelly has the edge (Buchnevich wins 2, Connelly wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Buchnevich | Connelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| Assists / game | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.01 | -0.10 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Hits / game | 0.39 | 0.40 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head
Pavel Buchnevich and Trevor Connelly have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
3games
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs WPG1.3 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs VGK1.1 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Trevor Connelly
3games
3.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs TBL0.9 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWvs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ STL1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ CBJ1.2 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Trevor Connelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Connelly projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.39. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Connelly had 7 in 10 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →