Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs William Nylander
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Nylander has 1 left. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Nylander's 2.1.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
Nylander's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.036, Goals above expected +5.0, Luck Meter +74.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Nylander 7–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
William Nylander
2.36
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, William Nylander has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Nylander |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 1.05 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Nylander
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 8G 11A, 59 SOG · Nylander 9G 8A, 59 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 1–2 · Aho's defensive zone 4–1 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Aho blocked 0 of Nylander's shots; Nylander blocked 3 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
24:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 26–18
- 59.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–1.3
- 49.1%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Nylander |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | CAR 4–3 TOR | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-04 | CAR 1–5 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-09 | CAR 5–4 TOR | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-13 | CAR 1–4 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | CAR 3–6 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-01-09 | CAR 6–3 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-24 | CAR 2–1 TOR | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-16 | CAR 5–4 TOR | 2G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-30 | CAR 3–2 TOR | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-25 | CAR 5–3 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-17 | CAR 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-06 | CAR 1–3 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
William Nylander
3games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.1 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or William Nylander in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or William Nylander?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Nylander done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 11–11. Aho had 19 points (8 goals) and Nylander had 17 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Nylander?
- Against each other, Aho has won 7 and Nylander 4 of their 11 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →