Draw Duel
Vinni Lettieri faceoff stats, 2024-25
TOR · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
41.2%
90%: 35.0%–47.6% vs an average regular, on 105 draws since 2023-24
2024-25 FO%
50.0%
11 won of 22 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
57.1% / 33.3%
14 strong-side, 6 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Lettieri wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2024-25 and 2023-24 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| OZ right | 20 | 10 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| NZ right (att.) | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Centre | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| NZ left (def.) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| DZ left | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| DZ right | 54 | 28 | 51.9% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R33.3%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L33.4%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R34.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L34.4%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L34.6%
- Jack Drury NSH · L34.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L54.2%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L53.8%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L52.7%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L51.0%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L50.6%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R50.5%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 50.0% 22 | 52.4% 21 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | 60.0% 10 | 40.0% 5 | 42.9% 7 | 57.1% 14 | 33.3% 6 |
| 2023-24 | 49.4% 83 | 48.6% 74 | 66.7% 3 | 50.0% 6 | 35.3% 17 | 55.6% 18 | 52.1% 48 | 52.8% 72 | 33.3% 6 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mittelstadt | 3–3 | 50.0% | 46.9% | 46.9% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Rourke Chartier | 3–1 | 75.0% | 42.4% | 42.7% | a bit unusual (z 1.3) |
| Nick Bonino | 3–1 | 75.0% | 42.4% | 42.7% | a bit unusual (z 1.3) |
| Brady Tkachuk | 0–3 | 0.0% | 42.3% | 42.1% | a bit unusual (z -1.5) |
| Noah Cates | 2–1 | 66.7% | 44.7% | 44.9% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Ridly Greig | 0–3 | 0.0% | 43.0% | 42.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.5) |
| Brett Howden | 1–2 | 33.3% | 43.1% | 43.0% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Yanni Gourde | 1–2 | 33.3% | 43.7% | 43.6% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Claude Giroux | 0–3 | 0.0% | 30.7% | 30.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Dylan Strome | 1–2 | 33.3% | 37.3% | 37.3% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Logan Cooley | 1–1 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 49.9% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| MacKenzie Entwistle | 1–1 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 49.1% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | vs WSH | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-23 | @ LAK | 2 | 3 | 66.7% |
| 2025-03-15 | vs TBL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-03-13 | @ OTT | 1 | 4 | 25.0% |
| 2025-03-11 | vs FLA | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-03-08 | @ TBL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-06 | @ CAR | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-01-30 | vs WPG | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-01-22 | @ NJD | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 2025-01-20 | vs SJS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Vinni Lettieri's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Vinni Lettieri's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Vinni Lettieri win tonight?
When Vinni Lettieri has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Vinni Lettieri better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.