Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Edstrom vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Edstrom's 1.34.
Edstrom had 5 points in 35 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Edstrom has 3 games left with 1 tough matchup; McDavid has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.1 to Edstrom's 3.7 over the games left.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Edstrom's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1022, Hits 65, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036.
McDavid's biggest edges: Power-play share 88.5%, Ice time per game 22:59, Ice-time share 37.9%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to +0.1 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Edstrom is surging, ixG/60 1.97 (was 0.87); McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before).
- • Edstrom, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 4 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 15 SOG.
- • McDavid, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
Nashville Predators · Edmonton Oilers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Edstrom
+0.1
category z-score total
Connor McDavid
+21.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (Edstrom wins 1, McDavid wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Edstrom | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.23 | 0.62 |
| Assists / game | 0.04 | 1.52 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.11 | 0.84 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.74 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.23 | 3.25 |
| Hits / game | 2.95 | 0.85 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Edstrom vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Edstrom 0G 0A, 3 SOG · McDavid 2G 2A, 11 SOG
On the ice against each other (Edstrom's side)
5:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Edstrom's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–4
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 80.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Edstrom | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | NYR 4–3 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-10-14 | NYR 0–2 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-23 | NYR 2–6 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Adam Edstrom
3games
3.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Thu, Oct 22 @ BOS1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Connor McDavid
3games (2 left)
6.1proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs MINOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.9 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to Cvs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Edstrom or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Edstrom's 1.34. Edstrom had 5 points in 35 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Edstrom or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Edstrom and McDavid done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Edstrom's team went 1–2. Edstrom had 0 points (0 goals) and McDavid had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →