Who to start · 2026-27
Alex Formenton vs Connor McDavid
In 2026-27, Connor McDavid scored 4.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Formenton's 0.92.
Formenton had 5 points in 21 games; McDavid had 50 in 21 games.
This week Formenton has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McDavid has 1 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 3.7 to Formenton's 1.0 over the games left.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 32 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Formenton's biggest edges: Hits 52, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.12.
McDavid's biggest edges: Scoring chances 63.7%, Offensive-zone time 48.1%, Fenwick 59.7%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +16.2 to -2.3 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Formenton is falling, ixG/60 0.29 (was 0.68); McDavid is cooling, 10 P in last 5 (2.50/GP before).
- • Formenton, last 10 games (Oct 26–Nov 14): 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • McDavid, last 10 games (Oct 26–Nov 14): 3 G, 14 A, 8 PPP, 30 SOG.
Edmonton Oilers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (Formenton wins 1, McDavid wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Formenton | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.10 | 0.52 |
| Assists / game | 0.14 | 1.86 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.14 | 1.24 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.95 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.05 | 2.76 |
| Hits / game | 2.48 | 0.90 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Formenton vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Formenton 1G 1A, 5 SOG · McDavid 2G 4A, 21 SOG
On the ice together
14:52 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 18–9
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.4
- 61.6%
- Goals
- 3–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Formenton | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-31 | OTT 3–2 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-01-15 | OTT 6–4 EDM | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2021-04-08 | OTT 1–3 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2021-04-07 | OTT 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 3A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Alex Formenton
4games (1 left)
1.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Nov 9 vs NYROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dylan Garand (.910)
- Wed, Nov 11 vs PHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.879)
- Sat, Nov 14 @ TOROpp allows 16th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Anthony Stolarz (.905)
- Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWvs Dan Vladar (.879)
Connor McDavid
4games (1 left)
3.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Nov 9 vs NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.910)
- Wed, Nov 11 vs PHIOpp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dan Vladar (.879)
- Sat, Nov 14 @ TOROpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Anthony Stolarz (.905)
- Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to Cvs Dan Vladar (.879)
Player data stories
How the game changed, told through the numbers.
- In 2022-23, Four NHL Players Wore a Number in the 90s for Every One in No. 9 The count was 53 to 13, and the incomplete 2025-26 rosters show the same split, 51 to 12.
- The 1,000-Game Club Had Its Biggest Year. Getting In Is No Easier. Seventeen players reached 1,000 NHL games in 2025-26, more than in any season before, in the biggest league the NHL has had.
- Only 14 NHL Defencemen Still Score Like Ken Daneyko A stay-at-home defenceman stays back to defend and leaves the scoring to others.
- How Much Lighter Did the NHL Really Get? Teams write down NHL weights.
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Formenton or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- In 2026-27, Connor McDavid scored 4.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Formenton's 0.92. Formenton had 5 points in 21 games; McDavid had 50 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Formenton or Connor McDavid?
- On 2026-27 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 32 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Formenton and McDavid done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Formenton's team went 2–2. Formenton had 2 points (1 goals) and McDavid had 6 (2 goals).
2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →