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Who to start · 2025-26

Brock Nelson vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Brock NelsonBrock NelsonAvalanche · CentrevsVladislav GavrikovVladislav GavrikovRangers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Nelson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Nelson for 1.3 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Brock Nelson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nelson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, Plus/minus +15, Expected goals 60.0%.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Luck Meter +49, Top skating speed 23.0, Goals above expected +5.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNelsonGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.890.28
Assists (+1)0.500.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.13
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nelson vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NelsonGavrikov
12Team record in 18 meetings6
16Points in those games8

Nelson 9G 7A, 58 SOG · Gavrikov 4G 4A, 35 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other3

Nelson blocked 0 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 3 of Nelson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)

5:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side

Shot attempts
13–1
92.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
99.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brock Nelson and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreNelsonGavrikov
2025-12-06COL 3–2 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-20COL 6–3 NYR1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-12COL 4–5 LAK2G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-27COL 4–0 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-10NYI 1–3 LAK0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-11NYI 0–3 LAK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-09NYI 3–2 LAK0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-03-14NYI 2–5 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2022-12-29NYI 2–1 CBJ0G 1A 7S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-25NYI 3–2 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-12NYI 4–3 CBJ2G 0A 10S0G 0A 0S
2022-03-31NYI 5–2 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NelsonGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brock Nelson or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brock Nelson or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nelson and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 12–6. Nelson had 16 points (9 goals) and Gavrikov had 8 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →