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Who to start · 2025-26

Brock Nelson vs Ivan Barbashev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59.

Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Barbashev had 61 in 82 games.

This week Nelson has 1 game left; Barbashev has 1 left. We project Nelson for 2.0 ESPN points to Barbashev's 1.6.

Brock Nelson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Nelson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 735, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, Power-play time per game 3:14.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Hits 137, Luck Meter +43, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.54.

Head to head on the dot, Nelson leads Barbashev 8–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brock Nelson

2.23

fantasy points per game

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNelsonBarbashev
Goals (+2)0.890.49
Assists (+1)0.500.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.15
Hits (+0.1)0.040.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nelson vs Barbashev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

NelsonBarbashev
9Team record in 20 meetings11
13Points in those games11

Nelson 6G 7A, 48 SOG · Barbashev 6G 5A, 30 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other6

Nelson's offensive zone 3–3 · neutral 3–0 · Nelson's defensive zone 2–3 (2017-18 to 2024-25)

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nelson's side)

27:29 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Nelson's side

Shot attempts
38–30
55.9%
Expected goals
1.9–1.1
62.5%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Brock Nelson and Ivan Barbashev
DateScoreNelsonBarbashev
2026-05-26 · POCOL 1–2 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-05-24 · POCOL 3–5 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-05-22 · POCOL 1–3 VGK0G 0A 1S2G 1A 3S
2026-05-20 · POCOL 2–4 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-11COL 2–3 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-27COL 6–5 VGK0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-31COL 4–2 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-08COL 3–2 VGK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-04NYI 2–1 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-23NYI 2–3 VGK1G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2024-01-06NYI 2–5 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-06NYI 4–7 STL0G 1A 4S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

NelsonBarbashev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brock Nelson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.0 pts

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Brock Nelson or Ivan Barbashev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59. Nelson had 65 points in 81 games; Barbashev had 61 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brock Nelson or Ivan Barbashev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nelson and Barbashev done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Nelson's team went 9–11. Nelson had 13 points (6 goals) and Barbashev had 11 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Nelson or Barbashev?
Against each other, Nelson has won 8 and Barbashev 6 of their 14 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →