Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Chris Kreider vs Connor McMichael

FallingOn-ice xGF/60 2.16 (was 3.65)
SteadyixG/60 0.46 (was 0.99)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Chris Kreider projects to 1.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor McMichael's 1.32.

Kreider had 50 points in 75 games; McMichael had 46 in 78 games.

This week Kreider has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; McMichael has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kreider for 2.8 to McMichael's 2.3 over the games left.

Chris Kreider has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kreider's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Fenwick 55.5%, Corsi 55.9%.

McMichael's biggest edges: Blocked shots 45, On-ice PDO 1019, Plus/minus +8.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Chris Kreider rates ahead, +0.2 to -0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Kreider is falling, On-ice xGF/60 2.16 (was 3.65); McMichael is steady, ixG/60 0.46 (was 0.99).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 4 A, 2 PPP, 12 SOG.

Montreal Canadiens · St. Louis Blues · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chris Kreider

+0.2

category z-score total

Connor McMichael

-0.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Chris Kreider has the edge (Kreider wins 3, McMichael wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryKreiderMcMichael
Goals / game0.230.20
Assists / game0.360.42
Plus/minus / game-0.12-0.10
Power-play points / game0.150.12
Shots on goal / game1.491.64
Hits / game1.200.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Kreider vs McMichael

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KreiderMcMichael
9Team record in 14 meetings5
9Points in those games8

Kreider 6G 3A, 34 SOG · McMichael 3G 5A, 37 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kreider's side)

9:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kreider's side

Shot attempts
11–6
64.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
42.7%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Chris Kreider and Connor McMichael
DateScoreKreiderMcMichael
2026-01-05ANA 4–7 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 4A 2S
2025-12-05ANA 4–3 WSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-04NYR 4–7 WSH1G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-29NYR 3–5 WSH1G 0A 2S1G 0A 10S
2024-04-28 · PONYR 4–2 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-26 · PONYR 3–1 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-04-23 · PONYR 4–3 WSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 6S
2024-04-21 · PONYR 4–1 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-14NYR 2–1 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-13NYR 2–3 WSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-27NYR 5–1 WSH0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-09NYR 0–4 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Faceoffs: Kreider vs McMichael

Model: Chris Kreider wins 43.1% of draws against Connor McMichael on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Chris Kreider's predicted win % against Connor McMichael at each dot, in Kreider's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Kreider atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home47%38%48%40%43%48%40%49%41%
Road46%37%47%38%43%47%38%48%39%

They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.

Kreider faceoffs · McMichael faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KreiderMcMichael

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Chris Kreider

3games (2 left)

2.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs SJS
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Alex Nedeljkovic (.896)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ CHI1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ WPG1.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Connor McMichael

3games (2 left)

2.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs WPG
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs VGK1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Chris Kreider or Connor McMichael in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Chris Kreider projects to 1.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor McMichael's 1.32. Kreider had 50 points in 75 games; McMichael had 46 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chris Kreider or Connor McMichael?
On 2025-26 numbers, Chris Kreider leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kreider and McMichael done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Kreider's team went 9–5. Kreider had 9 points (6 goals) and McMichael had 8 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →