Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McMichael vs Trevor Connelly

SteadyixG/60 0.46 (was 0.99)
Rising+1:14 PP TOI

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Connelly projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor McMichael's 1.32.

McMichael had 46 points in 78 games; Connelly had 7 in 10 games.

This week McMichael has 3 games left with 2 tough matchups; Connelly has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project McMichael for 3.6 to Connelly's 3.3 over the games left.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Trevor Connelly rates ahead, +2.3 to -0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McMichael is steady, ixG/60 0.46 (was 0.99); Connelly is rising, +1:14 PP TOI.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 4 A, 2 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • Trevor Connelly is an NHL rookie: this is his first season.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 4 G, 3 A, 3 PPP, 20 SOG.

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Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McMichael

-0.4

category z-score total

Trevor Connelly

+2.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Trevor Connelly has the edge (McMichael wins 2, Connelly wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcMichaelConnelly
Goals / game0.200.40
Assists / game0.420.30
Plus/minus / game-0.10-0.10
Power-play points / game0.120.30
Shots on goal / game1.642.00
Hits / game0.490.40

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head

Connor McMichael and Trevor Connelly have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McMichaelConnelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Connor McMichael

3games

3.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs WPG1.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs VGK1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Trevor Connelly

3games

3.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs TBL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWvs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ STL1.2 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ CBJ1.2 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McMichael or Trevor Connelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Connelly projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor McMichael's 1.32. McMichael had 46 points in 78 games; Connelly had 7 in 10 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →