Who to start · 2026-27
Declan Carlile vs Thomas Harley
In 2026-27, Thomas Harley scored 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Declan Carlile's 1.44.
Carlile had 6 points in 20 games; Harley had 13 in 19 games.
This week Carlile has no games left; Harley has 1 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Harley for 2.2 to Carlile's 0.0 over the games left.
Thomas Harley has the better number in 10 of the 14 stats both are ranked on.
Carlile's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, High-danger chances 58.8%.
Harley's biggest edges: Ascension score 86, Transition attempts /60 0.48, Fenwick 57.2%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Thomas Harley rates ahead, +3.1 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Carlile is cooling, −1:43 5v5 TOI; Harley is surging, 7 P in last 5 (0.45/GP before).
- • Carlile, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 14): 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
- • Harley, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 14): 2 G, 7 A, 4 PPP, 19 SOG.
Pittsburgh Penguins · Dallas Stars · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Under Standard (6 categories), Thomas Harley has the edge (Carlile wins 1, Harley wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Carlile | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Assists / game | 0.15 | 0.58 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.45 | 0.05 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.35 | 1.84 |
| Hits / game | 0.80 | 0.89 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Carlile vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carlile 0G 0A, 0 SOG · Harley 0G 0A, 7 SOG
On the ice against each other (Carlile's side)
9:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Carlile's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–8
- 38.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 37.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carlile | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | PIT 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2026-01-18 | TBL 4–1 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Declan Carlile
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Nov 11 @ SJSOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.890)
- Sat, Nov 14 vs OTTOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.939)
Thomas Harley
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Thu, Nov 12 vs WPGOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.880)
- Sat, Nov 14 vs BUFOpp allows 16th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Alex Lyon (.909)
- Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.883)
Player data stories
How the game changed, told through the numbers.
- In 2022-23, Four NHL Players Wore a Number in the 90s for Every One in No. 9 The count was 53 to 13, and the incomplete 2025-26 rosters show the same split, 51 to 12.
- The 1,000-Game Club Had Its Biggest Year. Getting In Is No Easier. Seventeen players reached 1,000 NHL games in 2025-26, more than in any season before, in the biggest league the NHL has had.
- Only 14 NHL Defencemen Still Score Like Ken Daneyko A stay-at-home defenceman stays back to defend and leaves the scoring to others.
- How Much Lighter Did the NHL Really Get? Teams write down NHL weights.
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Declan Carlile or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- In 2026-27, Thomas Harley scored 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Declan Carlile's 1.44. Carlile had 6 points in 20 games; Harley had 13 in 19 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Declan Carlile or Thomas Harley?
- On 2026-27 numbers, Thomas Harley leads in 10 of 14 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carlile and Harley done against each other?
- In 2 games against each other in our data, Carlile's team went 2–0. Carlile had 0 points (0 goals) and Harley had 0 (0 goals).
2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →