Who to start · 2026-27

Declan Carlile vs Pontus Holmberg

Cooling−1:43 5v5 TOI
CoolingixG/60 0.49 (was 1.13)

In 2026-27, Pontus Holmberg scored 1.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Declan Carlile's 1.44.

Carlile had 6 points in 20 games; Holmberg had 13 in 20 games.

This week Carlile has no games left; Holmberg has no games left.

Pontus Holmberg has the better number in 20 of the 30 stats both are ranked on.

Carlile's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Offensive-zone start % 50.0%.

Holmberg's biggest edges: Plus/minus +2, Transition attempts /60 1.14, Assists 7.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Pontus Holmberg rates ahead, -1.0 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Carlile is cooling, −1:43 5v5 TOI; Holmberg is cooling, ixG/60 0.49 (was 1.13).

  • • Carlile, last 10 games (Oct 22–Nov 14): 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • Holmberg, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 16 SOG.

Pittsburgh Penguins · Tampa Bay Lightning · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Declan Carlile

-2.1

category z-score total

Pontus Holmberg

-1.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Pontus Holmberg has the edge (Carlile wins 4, Holmberg wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryCarlileHolmberg
Goals / game0.150.30
Assists / game0.150.35
Plus/minus / game-0.450.10
Power-play points / game0.000.05
Shots on goal / game1.351.60
Hits / game0.800.85

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Carlile vs Holmberg

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarlileHolmberg
0Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

70:52 at 5-on-5 over 28 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
62–58
51.7%
Expected goals
2.2–2.0
52.1%
Goals
3–2

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarlileHolmberg

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

CarlileHolmberg

Special teams & discipline

Chemistry as teammates

How their expected-goal share at 5v5 changed together vs apart (shrunk for sample size), and how closely their DraftKings points moved game to game (raw, that season only; for forward linemates the typical value is about .28).

Declan Carlile and Pontus Holmberg chemistry by season
Season5v5 min togetherxG% liftxGF/60 liftDK correlation (raw)
2025-26 TBL74+0.5−0.14– (too few games together)

All Lightning pairs →How chemistry is measured

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Pittsburgh Penguins logo

Declan Carlile

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Pontus Holmberg

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Declan Carlile or Pontus Holmberg in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Pontus Holmberg scored 1.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Declan Carlile's 1.44. Carlile had 6 points in 20 games; Holmberg had 13 in 20 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Declan Carlile or Pontus Holmberg?
On 2026-27 numbers, Pontus Holmberg leads in 20 of 30 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →