Who to start · 2026-27

Pontus Holmberg vs Vincent Trocheck

CoolingixG/60 0.49 (was 1.13)
Rising+4:20 TOI a game

In 2026-27, Pontus Holmberg scored 1.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 1.39.

Holmberg had 13 points in 20 games; Trocheck had 10 in 21 games.

This week Holmberg has no games left; Trocheck has no games left.

Vincent Trocheck has the better number in 19 of the 30 stats both are ranked on.

Holmberg's biggest edges: Luck Meter +43, Goals above expected +1.4, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.001.

Trocheck's biggest edges: Hits 53, Faceoffs won 192, Expected goals 60.9%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Vincent Trocheck rates ahead, -0.3 to -1.0 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Holmberg is cooling, ixG/60 0.49 (was 1.13); Trocheck is rising, +4:20 TOI a game.

  • • Holmberg, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 16 SOG.
  • • Trocheck, last 10 games (Oct 24–Nov 14): 0 G, 5 A, 0 PPP, 22 SOG.

Tampa Bay Lightning · Utah Mammoth · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pontus Holmberg

-1.0

category z-score total

Vincent Trocheck

-0.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Vincent Trocheck has the edge (Holmberg wins 4, Trocheck wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryHolmbergTrocheck
Goals / game0.300.14
Assists / game0.350.33
Plus/minus / game0.100.05
Power-play points / game0.050.05
Shots on goal / game1.601.81
Hits / game0.852.52

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Holmberg vs Trocheck

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HolmbergTrocheck
5Team record in 8 meetings3
2Points in those games9

Holmberg 2G 0A, 8 SOG · Trocheck 2G 7A, 20 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other3

Holmberg's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Holmberg's defensive zone 0–2 (2026-27)

On the ice against each other (Holmberg's side)

13:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Holmberg's side

Shot attempts
7–20
25.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.5
39.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Pontus Holmberg and Vincent Trocheck
DateScoreHolmbergTrocheck
2026-10-24TBL 4–5 UTA1G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S
2025-11-29TBL 4–1 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-20TOR 4–3 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 3S
2025-02-28TOR 3–2 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-19TOR 1–4 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2024-03-02TOR 4–3 NYR0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S
2023-01-25TOR 3–2 NYR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-15TOR 1–3 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S

Faceoffs: Holmberg vs Trocheck

Model: Pontus Holmberg wins 39.5% of draws against Vincent Trocheck on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Pontus Holmberg's predicted win % against Vincent Trocheck at each dot, in Holmberg's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Holmberg atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home40%39%41%40%40%41%40%42%41%
Road38%37%39%38%39%39%38%40%39%

Head-to-head 2026-27: Holmberg 0–3 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 39.3%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Holmberg faceoffs · Trocheck faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HolmbergTrocheck

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

HolmbergTrocheck

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Nov 9 to Nov 15. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Pontus Holmberg

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

Utah Mammoth logo

Vincent Trocheck

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Nov 11 @ VGK
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.895)
  • Thu, Nov 12 vs STLB2B
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Joel Hofer (.921)
  • Sat, Nov 14 vs SJS
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.890)

Player data stories

How the game changed, told through the numbers.

All NHL data stories

FAQ

Should I start Pontus Holmberg or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Pontus Holmberg scored 1.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 1.39. Holmberg had 13 points in 20 games; Trocheck had 10 in 21 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pontus Holmberg or Vincent Trocheck?
On 2026-27 numbers, Vincent Trocheck leads in 19 of 30 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Holmberg and Trocheck done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Holmberg's team went 5–3. Holmberg had 2 points (2 goals) and Trocheck had 9 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Holmberg or Trocheck?
Against each other, Holmberg has won 0 and Trocheck 3 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →