Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Devon Toews vs Dougie Hamilton

SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 2.78 (was 3.68)
SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 4.83 (was 3.03)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.35.

Toews had 24 points in 68 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games.

This week Toews has 2 games left; Hamilton has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Hamilton for 3.6 to Toews's 2.9 over the games left.

Devon Toews has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Toews's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.039, On-ice PDO 1025, 20+ mph bursts 55.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Hits 87, Ascension score 60.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Dougie Hamilton rates ahead, +5.4 to +4.7 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Toews is steady, On-ice xGF/60 2.78 (was 3.68); Hamilton is steady, On-ice xGF/60 4.83 (was 3.03).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 3 PPP, 14 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 26 SOG.

Colorado Avalanche · New Jersey Devils · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Devon Toews

+4.7

category z-score total

Dougie Hamilton

+5.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Dougie Hamilton has the edge (Toews wins 2, Hamilton wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryToewsHamilton
Goals / game0.110.14
Assists / game0.390.39
Plus/minus / game0.610.03
Power-play points / game0.130.11
Shots on goal / game1.572.73
Hits / game0.431.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Toews vs Hamilton

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ToewsHamilton
5Team record in 16 meetings11
6Points in those games10

Toews 2G 4A, 31 SOG · Hamilton 4G 6A, 39 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Toews blocked 0 of Hamilton's shots; Hamilton blocked 3 of Toews's.

On the ice against each other (Toews's side)

25:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Toews's side

Shot attempts
26–37
41.3%
Expected goals
1.1–1.4
44.1%
Goals
2–3

Games against each other

Games between Devon Toews and Dougie Hamilton
DateScoreToewsHamilton
2026-10-20COL 3–4 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-28COL 8–4 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-26COL 3–4 NJD0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-26COL 5–1 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-08COL 4–0 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-07COL 6–3 NJD0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2023-03-01COL 5–7 NJD0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-10-28COL 0–1 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2022-04-14COL 3–1 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-03-08COL 3–5 NJD0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-11NYI 2–5 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2019-05-03 · PONYI 2–5 CAR0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ToewsHamilton

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Devon Toews

4games (2 left)

2.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL1.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Dougie Hamilton

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs COL
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs ANA1.7 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Devon Toews or Dougie Hamilton in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.35. Toews had 24 points in 68 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Devon Toews or Dougie Hamilton?
On 2025-26 numbers, Devon Toews leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Toews and Hamilton done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Toews's team went 5–11. Toews had 6 points (2 goals) and Hamilton had 10 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →