Who to start · 2025-26
Erik Karlsson vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.87.
Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Karlsson has no games left; Smith has no games left.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, High-danger chances 53.6%, Faceoffs won 0.
Smith's biggest edges: Ascension score 70, Transition attempts /60 2.05, Offensive-zone start % 68.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Erik Karlsson
2.02
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.87
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Karlsson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.35 | 0.85 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.78 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.44 | 0.11 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 0G 3A, 11 SOG · Smith 0G 2A, 8 SOG
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
6:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–11
- 21.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.9
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | PIT 5–6 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-18 | PIT 3–0 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-27 | PIT 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-16 | PIT 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Erik Karlsson
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Will Smith
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Erik Karlsson or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.87. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and Smith done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 2–2. Karlsson had 3 points (0 goals) and Smith had 2 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →