Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Fabian Zetterlund vs Matthew Tkachuk

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.98 (was 2.75)
Rising11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Fabian Zetterlund's 1.16.

Zetterlund had 33 points in 82 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games.

This week Zetterlund has 3 games left with 1 soft and 2 tough matchups; Tkachuk has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Tkachuk for 7.6 to Zetterlund's 3.6 over the games left.

Matthew Tkachuk has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Zetterlund's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.011, 20+ mph bursts 121.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 48, Power-play share 74.0%, Ice-time share 30.2%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Matthew Tkachuk rates ahead, +9.6 to +0.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Zetterlund is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.98 (was 2.75); Tkachuk is rising, 11 P in last 5 (1.15/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 15 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 3 G, 11 A, 7 PPP, 19 SOG.

Ottawa Senators · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Fabian Zetterlund

+0.3

category z-score total

Matthew Tkachuk

+9.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Matthew Tkachuk has the edge (Zetterlund wins 1, Tkachuk wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryZetterlundTkachuk
Goals / game0.170.39
Assists / game0.210.88
Plus/minus / game-0.010.05
Power-play points / game0.100.55
Shots on goal / game1.632.57
Hits / game2.101.13

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Zetterlund vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZetterlundTkachuk
1Team record in 7 meetings6
3Points in those games13

Zetterlund 1G 2A, 12 SOG · Tkachuk 4G 9A, 29 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Zetterlund blocked 0 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 1 of Zetterlund's.

On the ice against each other (Zetterlund's side)

1:23 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Zetterlund's side

Shot attempts
0–3
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Fabian Zetterlund and Matthew Tkachuk
DateScoreZetterlundTkachuk
2026-03-31OTT 3–6 FLA0G 0A 1S1G 3A 5S
2025-01-25SJS 2–7 FLA0G 1A 1S1G 2A 2S
2024-12-07SJS 1–3 FLA0G 0A 1S2G 0A 7S
2023-11-14SJS 3–5 FLA0G 1A 0S0G 2A 4S
2023-10-24SJS 1–3 FLA1G 0A 4S0G 2A 7S
2022-12-21NJD 4–2 FLA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-17NJD 2–4 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZetterlundTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Fabian Zetterlund

3games

3.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

Matthew Tkachuk

3games

7.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT2.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B2.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.7 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Fabian Zetterlund or Matthew Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Tkachuk projects to 2.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Fabian Zetterlund's 1.16. Zetterlund had 33 points in 82 games; Tkachuk had 34 in 31 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Fabian Zetterlund or Matthew Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Tkachuk leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zetterlund and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Zetterlund's team went 1–6. Zetterlund had 3 points (1 goals) and Tkachuk had 13 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →